Nintendo Reveals Staggering First Year Switch 2 Sales Forecast

Forget about the pricing premium compared to the first-generation model (and even the upgraded OLED variant) or the inflated cost of first-party games, which is ballooning to $80 a pop. Also forget about all of the uncertainty surrounding tariffs. Despite any criticisms or challenges that may exist for the soon-to-be-released Switch 2 handheld, Nintendo expects to have a banner year in terms of sales, with Switch 2 matching and even slightly exceeding the Switch 1 in its debut year.

Nintendo shared its sales forecast as part of its latest earnings disclosure (for fiscal year ended March 2025), revealing that it anticipates selling a staggering 15 million units in the first year.

At the baseline MSRP of $449.99, that comes to around $6.75 billion in sales. The math is a little more complicated than that, as it needs to account for price variations in different territories and exchange rates ...